An Earth Too Small, Inherited for Thirteen CenturiesPtolemy's Geographia · c. 150 CE, Alexandria
c. 150 CEAlexandriaBerggren & Jones 2000Ptolemy's eight-book Geographia listed some 8,000 places by latitude and longitude, turning cartography for the first time into a problem of coordinates rather than a drawing exercise. Two values for the Earth's circumference were available to him: Eratosthenes' 252,000 stadia (c. 240 BCE), and the 180,000 stadia handed down via Marinus of Tyre.
Ptolemy took the smaller figure, shrinking the planet by roughly a quarter. He also followed Marinus in stretching the known world to 180° of longitude when the true span is about 130°. The two errors ran the same way: Eurasia was pulled long, the ocean squeezed flat, and the westward distance to Asia collapsed to about a third of the real one. In 1406 the Geographia was translated into Latin and returned to western Europe as the base text of Renaissance mapmaking. Columbus then added a third error, reading al-Farghani's Arabic mile as the shorter Roman mile, and put Japan some 2,400 nautical miles west of the Canaries. The real figure is about 10,600.
The Salamanca commission of 1486–87 rejected him because the water and provisions would not last to Asia. They were using a better circumference and their conclusion was entirely correct. The reviewers were right, the applicant was wrong — and the wrong one was rescued by a continent nobody had counted. The counterfactual has to respect the constraints: had Ptolemy taken Eratosthenes' number, Columbus's business case would not have stood up; but Portugal's African route was advancing regardless, so transatlantic contact would most likely have been delayed by decades, not cancelled. Berggren and Jones (2000) add that the surviving maps were probably redrawn by Byzantine hands from the data — what was inherited was the numbers, not the picture.
A constant of unknown provenance gets written into a low-level library and every later decision rests on it; a model inherits the bias in its training data, and the wider its use, the more that bias reads as fact.